I write a blog about Indian web 2.0 space (whatever exists of it!) and its reader base is somewhat different from the Venturewoods community; I am cross posting this so as to get reactions from the audience here.
I had been internally debating whether or not this post made any sense. What precipitated my decision in the affirmative was this piece of news that I read on ContentSutra. As things stand today, I can sense a general environment of conjecture about Indian Web2.0 amongst its thought leaders. There is a continuum of opinions, with people’s reactions ranging from cautious disbelief to speculative anticipation. Different people (or organizations) seem to be taking divergent positions and while everybody has a right to a course of action that best serves their own interests, I wonder what this collectively means to the Indian Web 2.0 entrepreneurs themselves. For there is a not insignficant number of people who have Web2.0 as their ‘occupational karmabhoomi’. Many of them are betting their lives & careers on Web2.0 and/or committing significant resources to carve out their livelihood in this space. Hence this issue needs much closer introspection, at least for the sake of that specific group.
Let me piece together a bunch of recent news item, or some of my own observations to give you a sense of what I am driving at. (My apologies if this looks a little sensational, but I need to do it thus, to get my point across)
Avnish Bajaj Says Social Networking Is “A Waste Of Time” In India – Avnish Bajaj, given his experience, surely knows quite a bit about the Indian internet industry; so when he voiced his concerns, you have to accord credence to his views. He did clarify later that he was referring to pure SNS sites. In fact its not just online social networking, he has earlier expressed general skepticism about Indian Web 2.0, probably because of the low internet penetration figures and immature state of the industry.
Sequoia Capital invests 7 million in Minglebox – Sequoia is a big name in venture funding of internet startups. They have internationally backed some of the biggest names in this business, so when their Indian arm invests a sizable sum in a SNS startup, that hasn’t really set the roads on fire (as yet) and is just one in an increasingly crowded space, you have to notice it. Personally I think this decision makes sense for them, for as an investor you have finite choices and if they have to bet on somebody in the Indian SNS space, their choice is better than many of the others. But my main point here is that they are certainly not as skeptic as Avnish about Indian Web2.0.
Canaan Partner says Web 2.0 not high on its priority list– Canaan said that while they are looking at the software & internet space, they are not hugely kicked about Web2.0; they are more aligned towards transaction based models. Canaan with Alok at the helm of its affairs, surely knows a thing or two about the Indian internet space.
Media/Entertainment industry hots up to internet (incl Web2.0) – One recent trend worth noticing is that the big Indian media companies (having huge reach through their TV channels)– Times, NDTV, CNN IBN, Reliance Entertainment are getting their internet act together. They obviously think that the internet is the next big medium after the television. In fact, its not just Indian media companies but foreign ones as well. Take the case of MIH India, which has been promoted by a South African media house, Naspers. MIH is committing serious advertising money to their products and surely they are betting big on this space. I must add that the media companies are eyeing the internet space in general, but it’s safe to assume that they are partly influenced by the buzz around ‘web2.0’.
No dearth of VC money for internet space – You would agree that there is more venture capital money available for the Indian internet space that what the market can absorb. (in fact in India, that’s probably true not just for venture capital but for big ticket private equity as well); and the blame for this clearly lies with us- the startup guys, the entrepreneurs themselves, for not creating enough compelling products & services that can be considered ‘investment grade’ by owners of the capital.
My question is – for young, inexperienced first time Indian web 2.0 entrepreneurs, who are mostly bootstrapping or meagerly angel funded, and who dream of making it big on the Indian internet scene, what should they make of this?
- Please participate in the Empower Social Media Research Survey - April 11, 2008
- Event announcement: BarCampDelhi3 on Dec 8th - November 23, 2007
- Indian Web2.0- different strokes, different folks.. - May 4, 2007
I am working on social networking websites for two separate domains for world markets. I do not care whether they get any external funding or not. It makes me leader in those two domains, otherwise I am not. In one domain, there is a substandard SN site available and the other domain does not have any yet.
market size can be 1/1000 of worldwide internet users in english for both.
I like what Krish has to say. Get real and solve a real problem. Get users whatever channel you use. Web 2.0 and all are just labels and quite a few people including me are confused by what they mean.
If web2.0 means using the latest technologies to create compelling solutions in an indian context and that is coupled with offline acquisition as well to get critical mass then I see huge potential in India.
In 1985 when some of you may have just been born we started building a technology based business for Citibank that in four years had $12MM in revenue and 95% market share in its target market. The key was stakeholders interacted using methods that were appropriate and technology helped tie it together.
If users have to use the web only and the ease of use is tougher than email plus the benefit is less than email then I agree with RYK that the market is too small.
I am looking for entrepreneurs who can get market share.
IMO,
I don’t understand. IMO key to any successful business is what value you create + uniqueness, now if its web 2.0/3.0 , p2p etc .. how does it matter. Creating another substandard mock of popular website is no way to do business, its creating mediocrity.
Also, As lakshmi pointed out probably its too early to guess if web 2.0 is headed towards a boom or a burst.
VC money is no way to guess potential of a upcoming field. Most Indian VCs just invest is what “seems” to be the next wave. Their behavior is comparable to those share traders who bet on investing in already *seemingly_upcoming* shares. This sheep culture just reduces their risk.
Jaspreet
Okay going to stick my nexk out here…its a small one so I guess it wont hurt 🙂
I think the penetration is and will increase (especially as the gov recently announced they wish to make broadband free for every user in India by 2009). I am comparing this to say the UK market, everyone thought ecommerce here sucked, and it did, penertration was really low, but then it just exploded, alot of it being led by the workforce, everyone had/needed internet at work (and it was not blocked, so you could view all websites), this led to a increased adoption of PC’s blah blah blah.
Suffice to say the internet usage will increase, 3 yrs 5 yrs or whatever.
So will Sn work, NO, as posted before social networks work when they have a focus, all social networks as with most websites I see/have seen in India have little focus, take rediff for an example…what exactly does it do…or maybe the easier question is what doesn’t it do. This is the problem, no one is thinking about a good use, a problem to solve, everyone just looks at working websites, pulls the idea and adds it to their own. This does happen in other country, last time I looked there were over 380 social networks globally, so I guess India here is just following the pack.
The ones which work have/had a focus, thats all the ones in India need. BUT…and here’s the BUT, you cannot make money from eyeballs in India, I know portals like naukri rediff etc do…I would really like to see how valuable this has been to advertisers though (another topic). So if you cannot make revenue from eyeballs, whatever the SN it needs to make money, which I guess kills the idea of it being free…which slows uptake….or does it ? 🙂
Iqbal
I was associated with a SN site for India. But in Dec I pulled the site out of the running.
The reason I pulled out the project is that I did not believe that a large market existed in Indian for this product even 3 years from now.
Here is the IMRB study on Internet users in India: http://bp0.blogger.com/_wZt3wqJmfhE/RYw2fejtAjI/AAAAAAAAACQ/onALVlEWyUU/s1600-h/india+internet+users.png
You will see “Active” users as defined by logged in every month (!) is just 21M in 2006. If you actually read the report (its on iamai.in) the stats are as follows:
Active users (logged in every month): 21M
Weekly users: 11M
Weekly users beyond email: 3M
Thus for social networking sites we are talking about a TG of 1.7M – 2.5M users in India plus lets say 0.3M NRIs !
Even if I become the no. 1 social networking site in India, what value would I have created?
Why had I started the project you ask? Its because I was mislead with some incorrect data that was floating around. When the IMRB report came out using a more robust technique, it was a shocker. I grilled Mohan at IMRB for hours, but once I was convinced that the data was correct, I took decisions instantly.